Match Analysis

AS RomavsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
9%
3%
AS Roma winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.98Avg goals scored0.78
0.39Avg goals conceded1.79
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

0.3

Genoa xG

24%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

18%

3–0

16%

1–0

13%

4–0

12%

5–0

6%

0–0

5%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DLDDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Genoa?

AS Roma is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win88%
Draw9%
Genoa Win3%
BTTS24%
Over 2.560%