Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
AS Roma xG
Expected goals
0.4
Genoa xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
16%
3–0
15%
1–0
12%
4–0
10%
2–1
7%
3–1
6%
Model vs Market
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
AS Roma
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 4D 0L
Away
Genoa
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Genoa?
AS Roma is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AS Roma's current form?
AS Roma have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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