As Roma vs Fiorentina
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
AS Roma xG
Expected goals
0.5
Fiorentina xG
33%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
18%
2–0
16%
0–0
10%
3–0
10%
1–1
9%
2–1
8%
Home
AS Roma
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 0.7
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Fiorentina
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win As Roma vs Fiorentina?
AS Roma is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is As Roma's current form?
As Roma have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, As Roma won 3, drew 2, and Fiorentina won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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