Match Analysis

AS RomavsCagliari

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
39%
14%
AS Roma winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
1.98Avg goals scored1.03
0.51Avg goals conceded0.55
1–4–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

0.4

Cagliari xG

20%

Both Teams to Score

14%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

27%

1–0

25%

0–1

11%

2–0

11%

1–1

10%

2–1

4%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDDWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win As Roma vs Cagliari?

AS Roma is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is As Roma's current form?

As Roma have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 14%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win47%
Draw39%
Cagliari Win14%
BTTS20%
Over 2.514%