Match Analysis

AC MilanvsInternazionale

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
22%
38%
AC Milan winDrawInternazionale win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.78Avg goals scored3.01
0.85Avg goals conceded1.27
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.8

Internazionale xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Internazionale

Internazionale

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Internazionale?

AC Milan is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win40%
Draw22%
Internazionale Win38%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%