Match Analysis

AC MilanvsFrosinone

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
19%
23%
AC Milan winDrawFrosinone win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
2.05Avg goals scored1.95
1.11Avg goals conceded1.50
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.5

Frosinone xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

1–0

5%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Frosinone

Frosinone

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Frosinone?

AC Milan is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win58%
Draw19%
Frosinone Win23%
BTTS71%
Over 2.575%