Match Analysis

AC MilanvsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
24%
13%
AC Milan winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.60
1.78Avg goals scored0.99
0.85Avg goals conceded1.15
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

0.6

Bologna xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

2–0

14%

0–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

WDWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DDLDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Bologna?

AC Milan is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win63%
Draw24%
Bologna Win13%
BTTS36%
Over 2.538%