Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
AC Milan xG
Expected goals
0.9
Atalanta xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
2–0
11%
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
3–0
7%
0–0
6%
Home
AC Milan
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Atalanta
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Atalanta?
AC Milan is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AC Milan's current form?
AC Milan have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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