Match Analysis

Al NassrvsNeom SC

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
24%
23%
Al Nassr winDrawNeom SC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
2.34Avg goals scored1.76
0.83Avg goals conceded0.90
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

1

Neom SC xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Neom SC

Neom SC

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Neom SC?

Al Nassr is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win53%
Draw24%
Neom SC Win23%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%