Match Analysis

Al NassrvsAl Kholood

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

90%
7%
3%
Al Nassr winDrawAl Kholood win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
2.34Avg goals scored1.44
0.83Avg goals conceded2.37
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

0.8

Al Kholood xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

9%

4–0

9%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

5–0

7%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Kholood

Al Kholood

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

Al Nassr is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win90%
Draw7%
Al Kholood Win3%
BTTS54%
Over 2.586%