Match Analysis

Al NassrvsAl Diriyah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

77%
16%
7%
Al Nassr winDrawAl Diriyah win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
2.34Avg goals scored0.83
0.83Avg goals conceded1.17
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

0.5

Al Diriyah xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

16%

1–0

15%

3–0

12%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Al Nassr is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win77%
Draw16%
Al Diriyah Win7%
BTTS35%
Over 2.551%