Match Analysis

Al KhaleejvsAl Diriyah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
31%
24%
Al Khaleej winDrawAl Diriyah win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.21Avg goals scored0.83
1.25Avg goals conceded1.17
1–4–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Al Khaleej xG

Expected goals

0.7

Al Diriyah xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

0–0

17%

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

2–0

10%

2–1

7%

Home

Al Khaleej

Al Khaleej

DWDDD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Away

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Khaleej vs Al Diriyah?

Al Khaleej is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Khaleej's current form?

Al Khaleej have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Khaleej Win45%
Draw31%
Al Diriyah Win24%
BTTS34%
Over 2.527%