Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Al Ittihad xG
Expected goals
2.5
Al Ahli xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–3
6%
2–3
6%
2–1
5%
Home
Al Ittihad
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Al Ahli
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Ittihad vs Al Ahli?
Al Ahli is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Ittihad's current form?
Al Ittihad have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Saudi Pro League