Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Al Hilal xG
Expected goals
0.8
Al Hazem xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
9%
4–0
9%
2–0
7%
3–1
7%
4–1
7%
5–0
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $43K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Al Hilal
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.2 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Al Hazem
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Hilal vs Al Hazem?
Al Hilal is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Saudi Pro League