Match Analysis

Al HazemvsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

9%
15%
76%
Al Hazem winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.17Avg goals scored2.34
1.56Avg goals conceded0.83
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Al Hazem xG

Expected goals

2.6

Al Nassr xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

0–3

10%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

1–1

7%

Home

Al Hazem

Al Hazem

DDLWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Hazem's current form?

Al Hazem have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Hazem Win9%
Draw15%
Al Nassr Win76%
BTTS51%
Over 2.566%