Match Analysis

Al HazemvsAl Fateh

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
23%
9%
Al Hazem winDrawAl Fateh win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.60
0.97Avg goals scored0.51
1.22Avg goals conceded2.13
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Al Hazem xG

Expected goals

0.4

Al Fateh xG

27%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

21%

2–0

18%

0–0

12%

3–0

10%

1–1

8%

2–1

7%

Home

Al Hazem

Al Hazem

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Al Fateh

Al Fateh

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.1

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Hazem vs Al Fateh?

Al Hazem is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Hazem's current form?

Al Hazem have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Hazem Win68%
Draw23%
Al Fateh Win9%
BTTS27%
Over 2.535%