Match Analysis

Al FayhavsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

6%
14%
80%
Al Fayha winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
0.81Avg goals scored2.34
1.51Avg goals conceded0.83
0–4–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Al Fayha xG

Expected goals

2.5

Al Nassr xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

16%

0–3

13%

0–1

12%

0–4

8%

1–2

8%

1–1

6%

Home

Al Fayha

Al Fayha

DDDLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Fayha vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Fayha's current form?

Al Fayha have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Fayha Win6%
Draw14%
Al Nassr Win80%
BTTS36%
Over 2.558%