Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Al Fateh xG
Expected goals
3.7
Al Nassr xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
9%
0–4
9%
0–2
8%
1–3
8%
1–4
7%
0–5
6%
Home
Al Fateh
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Al Nassr
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.3 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?
Al Nassr is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Fateh's current form?
Al Fateh have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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