Match Analysis

Al FatehvsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
7%
89%
Al Fateh winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
0.99Avg goals scored2.70
2.11Avg goals conceded1.19
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Al Fateh xG

Expected goals

4

Al Ahli xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

7%

0–4

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–5

6%

1–5

6%

Home

Al Fateh

Al Fateh

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?

Al Ahli is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Fateh's current form?

Al Fateh have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Fateh Win4%
Draw7%
Al Ahli Win89%
BTTS62%
Over 2.588%