Match Analysis

Al FaisalyvsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
12%
81%
Al Faisaly winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
1.20Avg goals scored2.34
1.81Avg goals conceded0.83
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Al Faisaly xG

Expected goals

3

Al Nassr xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

10%

0–3

10%

0–4

8%

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–1

7%

Home

Al Faisaly

Al Faisaly

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Faisaly's current form?

Al Faisaly have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Faisaly Win7%
Draw12%
Al Nassr Win81%
BTTS52%
Over 2.573%