Match Analysis

Al DiriyahvsAl Riyadh

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
29%
27%
Al Diriyah winDrawAl Riyadh win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.83Avg goals scored1.09
1.17Avg goals conceded1.85
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Al Diriyah xG

Expected goals

0.9

Al Riyadh xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–1

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

8%

Home

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh?

Al Diriyah is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Diriyah's current form?

Al Diriyah have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Diriyah Win44%
Draw29%
Al Riyadh Win27%
BTTS41%
Over 2.535%