Match Analysis

Al AhlivsAl Taawoun

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

93%
4%
3%
Al Ahli winDrawAl Taawoun win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
2.76Avg goals scored0.44
1.35Avg goals conceded1.90
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Al Ahli xG

Expected goals

0.4

Al Taawoun xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

13%

4–0

13%

2–0

10%

5–0

10%

1–0

5%

3–1

5%

Home

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Taawoun

Al Taawoun

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun?

Al Ahli is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Ahli's current form?

Al Ahli have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Ahli Win93%
Draw4%
Al Taawoun Win3%
BTTS32%
Over 2.581%