Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Al Ahli xG
Expected goals
0.7
Al Khaleej xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
13%
1–0
11%
3–0
10%
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Al Ahli
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Al Khaleej
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.1
Last 5
0W 4D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej?
Al Ahli is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Ahli's current form?
Al Ahli have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Saudi Pro League