Match Analysis

Al AhlivsAl Faisaly

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

87%
8%
5%
Al Ahli winDrawAl Faisaly win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.60
2.70Avg goals scored1.21
1.19Avg goals conceded1.81
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.9

Al Ahli xG

Expected goals

1

Al Faisaly xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Faisaly

Al Faisaly

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly?

Al Ahli is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Ahli's current form?

Al Ahli have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Ahli Win87%
Draw8%
Al Faisaly Win5%
BTTS62%
Over 2.587%