Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Abha xG
Expected goals
1.4
Al Riyadh xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
0–1
11%
1–0
9%
1–2
9%
0–0
8%
0–2
8%
Home
Abha
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Al Riyadh
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Abha vs Al Riyadh?
Al Riyadh is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Abha's current form?
Abha have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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