Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Tottenham Hotspur xG
Expected goals
1.4
Aston Villa xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
1–1
12%
0–0
11%
0–2
11%
1–0
9%
1–2
9%
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.3 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Tottenham Hotspur's current form?
Tottenham Hotspur have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Tottenham Hotspur won 3, drew 0, and Aston Villa won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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