Match Analysis

Tottenham HotspurvsAston Villa

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
30%
42%
Tottenham Hotspur winDrawAston Villa win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
0.63Avg goals scored1.23
1.42Avg goals conceded1.81
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Tottenham Hotspur xG

Expected goals

1.2

Aston Villa xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

15%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

1–0

11%

0–2

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa?

Aston Villa is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Tottenham Hotspur's current form?

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Tottenham Hotspur Win28%
Draw30%
Aston Villa Win42%
BTTS41%
Over 2.535%