Match Analysis

SunderlandvsNottingham Forest

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
28%
39%
Sunderland winDrawNottingham Forest win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
0.95Avg goals scored0.85
2.15Avg goals conceded1.51
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

1.2

Nottingham Forest xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

11%

0–0

10%

1–2

8%

0–2

7%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?

Nottingham Forest is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win33%
Draw28%
Nottingham Forest Win39%
BTTS47%
Over 2.540%