Match Analysis

SunderlandvsChelsea

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

10%
11%
79%
Sunderland winDrawChelsea win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
0.95Avg goals scored2.65
2.15Avg goals conceded2.05
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

3.9

Chelsea xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

91%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

1–2

5%

1–5

5%

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Chelsea is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win10%
Draw11%
Chelsea Win79%
BTTS76%
Over 2.591%