Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Sunderland xG
Expected goals
3.9
Chelsea xG
76%
Both Teams to Score
91%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
1–2
5%
1–5
5%
2–3
5%
2–4
5%
Home
Sunderland
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Chelsea
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Chelsea is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sunderland's current form?
Sunderland have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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