Match Analysis

Nottingham ForestvsManchester City

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
11%
84%
Nottingham Forest winDrawManchester City win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.60
0.85Avg goals scored2.76
1.51Avg goals conceded0.80
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Nottingham Forest xG

Expected goals

2.8

Manchester City xG

37%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

14%

0–3

13%

0–1

10%

0–4

9%

1–2

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nottingham Forest's current form?

Nottingham Forest have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nottingham Forest Win5%
Draw11%
Manchester City Win84%
BTTS37%
Over 2.564%