โšก Match Analysis

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
16%
26%
Nottingham Forest winDrawLeeds United win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
2.32Avg goals scored1.41
1.15Avg goals conceded1.15
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Nottingham Forest xG

Expected goals

1.2

Leeds United xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

10%

1โ€“1

9%

2โ€“0

8%

1โ€“0

7%

3โ€“1

7%

2โ€“2

6%

Home

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Leeds United

Leeds United

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

Nottingham Forestall timeLeeds United
1W
1W
6 Feb 26
Leeds United3โ€“1Nottingham Forest
9 Nov 25
Nottingham Forest3โ€“1Leeds United

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?

Nottingham Forest is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nottingham Forest's current form?

Nottingham Forest have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, drew 0, and Leeds United won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Nottingham Forest Win58%
Draw16%
Leeds United Win26%
BTTS62%
Over 2.566%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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