โšก Match Analysis

Newcastle United vs Liverpool

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
21%
49%
Newcastle United winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.29Avg goals scored1.72
1.44Avg goals conceded1.72
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“2โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Newcastle United xG

Expected goals

1.8

Liverpool xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

9%

1โ€“2

8%

2โ€“1

8%

2โ€“2

7%

0โ€“1

5%

1โ€“0

5%

Home

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Newcastle Unitedall timeLiverpool
1D
5W
31 Jan 26
Liverpool4โ€“1Newcastle United
25 Aug 25
Newcastle United2โ€“3Liverpool
26 Feb 25
Liverpool2โ€“0Newcastle United
4 Dec 24
Newcastle United3โ€“3Liverpool
1 Jan 24
Liverpool4โ€“2Newcastle United
27 Aug 23
Newcastle United1โ€“2Liverpool

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Newcastle United's current form?

Newcastle United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Newcastle United won 0, drew 1, and Liverpool won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Newcastle United Win30%
Draw21%
Liverpool Win49%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%

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