Match Analysis

Newcastle UnitedvsEverton

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
20%
61%
Newcastle United winDrawEverton win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.57Avg goals scored1.36
2.43Avg goals conceded0.95
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Newcastle United xG

Expected goals

2.2

Everton xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Everton

Everton

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Everton?

Everton is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Newcastle United's current form?

Newcastle United have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Newcastle United Win19%
Draw20%
Everton Win61%
BTTS62%
Over 2.566%