Newcastle United vs Afc Bournemouth
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Newcastle United xG
Expected goals
1.7
AFC Bournemouth xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0โ1
13%
0โ2
11%
1โ1
11%
1โ2
10%
0โ0
7%
1โ0
7%
Home
Newcastle United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
AFC Bournemouth
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Afc Bournemouth?
AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle United's current form?
Newcastle United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Newcastle United won 0, drew 3, and Afc Bournemouth won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0โ1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets โ
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Premier League