Manchester United vs Manchester City
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
1.5
Manchester City xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1โ1
11%
2โ1
9%
1โ2
8%
0โ1
7%
1โ0
7%
2โ0
6%
Home
Manchester United
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Manchester City
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Manchester City is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester United won 2, drew 1, and Manchester City won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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