Manchester Unitedvs
Aston Villa
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
1.2
Aston Villa xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
8%
2–0
8%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Manchester United
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Manchester United is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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