Manchester Unitedvs
AFC Bournemouth
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
1.1
AFC Bournemouth xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
2–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
3–0
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Manchester United
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
AFC Bournemouth
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Manchester United is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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