Manchester United vs Afc Bournemouth
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
1.2
AFC Bournemouth xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
11%
1–0
11%
0–2
8%
1–2
8%
Home
Manchester United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
AFC Bournemouth
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Afc Bournemouth?
AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester United won 0, drew 4, and Afc Bournemouth won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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