Match Analysis

Manchester CityvsSunderland

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

92%
5%
3%
Manchester City winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.80
2.76Avg goals scored0.95
0.80Avg goals conceded2.15
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

0.5

Sunderland xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

12%

4–0

12%

2–0

9%

5–0

9%

3–1

6%

4–1

6%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Sunderland?

Manchester City is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester City Win92%
Draw5%
Sunderland Win3%
BTTS39%
Over 2.583%