Manchester City vs Ipswich Town
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
1.5
Ipswich Town xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
2–2
7%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
2–0
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $83K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Manchester City
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Ipswich Town
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?
Manchester City is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Manchester City won 2, drew 0, and Ipswich Town won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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