Manchester Cityvs
Brighton & Hove Albion
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
1.6
Brighton & Hove Albion xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
2–1
8%
1–0
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.8 / 0.8
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Brighton & Hove Albion
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.9 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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