Match Analysis

LiverpoolvsSunderland

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
25%
19%
Liverpool winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
0.96Avg goals scored0.95
1.28Avg goals conceded2.15
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

0.8

Sunderland xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

1–1

12%

2–0

12%

0–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Sunderland?

Liverpool is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Liverpool Win56%
Draw25%
Sunderland Win19%
BTTS44%
Over 2.543%