Liverpoolvs
Manchester United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Liverpool xG
Expected goals
1.2
Manchester United xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
11%
1–0
11%
0–2
8%
1–2
8%
Home
Liverpool
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
Manchester United is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Liverpool's current form?
Liverpool have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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