Match Analysis

LiverpoolvsArsenal

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
27%
54%
Liverpool winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
0.96Avg goals scored1.61
1.28Avg goals conceded0.96
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

1.4

Arsenal xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

17%

0–0

12%

0–2

12%

1–1

12%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Liverpool Win19%
Draw27%
Arsenal Win54%
BTTS38%
Over 2.535%