Leeds United vs Crystal Palace
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Leeds United xG
Expected goals
0.3
Crystal Palace xG
22%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
20%
2–0
20%
3–0
13%
0–0
10%
4–0
7%
1–1
6%
Home
Leeds United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
0.9 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Crystal Palace
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.8
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?
Leeds United is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Leeds United's current form?
Leeds United have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Leeds United won 1, drew 1, and Crystal Palace won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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