Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Everton xG
Expected goals
0.6
Liverpool xG
34%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
19%
0–0
14%
2–0
13%
1–1
11%
0–1
8%
2–1
8%
Home
Everton
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Liverpool
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Everton vs Liverpool?
Everton is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Everton's current form?
Everton have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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