Match Analysis

EvertonvsLiverpool

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
28%
17%
Everton winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.36Avg goals scored0.96
0.95Avg goals conceded1.28
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Everton xG

Expected goals

0.6

Liverpool xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

19%

0–0

14%

2–0

13%

1–1

11%

0–1

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Everton

Everton

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Everton vs Liverpool?

Everton is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Everton's current form?

Everton have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Everton Win55%
Draw28%
Liverpool Win17%
BTTS34%
Over 2.532%