Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Crystal Palace xG
Expected goals
3.8
Newcastle United xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
11%
0–4
11%
0–2
9%
0–5
8%
1–3
7%
1–4
6%
Home
Crystal Palace
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.8
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Newcastle United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
Newcastle United is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Crystal Palace's current form?
Crystal Palace have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Crystal Palace won 2, drew 1, and Newcastle United won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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