Match Analysis

Coventry CityvsAston Villa

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
23%
31%
Coventry City winDrawAston Villa win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.26Avg goals scored1.23
1.70Avg goals conceded1.81
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Coventry City xG

Expected goals

1.4

Aston Villa xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Coventry City

Coventry City

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coventry City vs Aston Villa?

Coventry City is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coventry City's current form?

Coventry City have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coventry City Win46%
Draw23%
Aston Villa Win31%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%