Chelseavs
Manchester United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
1.9
Manchester United xG
80%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–1
5%
4–1
5%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Manchester United?
Chelsea is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Premier League