Match Analysis

ChelseavsLiverpool

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
19%
19%
Chelsea winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
2.51Avg goals scored1.20
1.59Avg goals conceded1.22
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Chelsea xG

Expected goals

1.3

Liverpool xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Chelsea

Chelsea

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Liverpool?

Chelsea is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chelsea's current form?

Chelsea have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chelsea Win62%
Draw19%
Liverpool Win19%
BTTS66%
Over 2.571%