Chelseavs
Crystal Palace
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.7
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
2.3
Crystal Palace xG
88%
Both Teams to Score
94%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–2
6%
3–1
5%
4–2
5%
2–1
4%
2–2
4%
3–3
4%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Crystal Palace
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
Chelsea is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 88%. Over 2.5 goals: 94%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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