Match Analysis

ChelseavsAFC Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

80%
11%
9%
Chelsea winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
2.65Avg goals scored1.12
2.05Avg goals conceded2.46
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Chelsea xG

Expected goals

1.6

AFC Bournemouth xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

92%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

6%

4–1

6%

2–1

5%

3–2

5%

4–2

5%

5–1

5%

Home

Chelsea

Chelsea

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?

Chelsea is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chelsea's current form?

Chelsea have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chelsea Win80%
Draw11%
AFC Bournemouth Win9%
BTTS78%
Over 2.592%