Brighton & Hove Albionvs
Newcastle United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Brighton & Hove Albion xG
Expected goals
0.7
Newcastle United xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
10%
4–0
10%
5–0
8%
2–0
7%
3–1
7%
4–1
7%
Home
Brighton & Hove Albion
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.9 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Newcastle United
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United?
Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brighton & Hove Albion's current form?
Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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